Thứ tư, 08 22nd

Last updateThứ 3, 21 08 2018 1am

Chính trị - Kinh tế

Nước Hoa Kỳ sẽ nghiêng về hướng phải trong vài thập niên tới


MN: Thẩm phán Anthony Kennedy của Tối Cao Pháp Viện bất ngờ tuyên bố về hưu (*). Đây là cơ hội lớn cho ông Trump đề cử một thẩm phán mới vào Tối Cao Pháp Viện, và chắc chắn sẽ là một nhân vật có lập trường phải (right, conservative).


Trong năm đầu làm tổng thống ông Trump đã bổ nhiệm được một thẩm phán có lập trường phải là ông Neil Gorsuch vào Tòa Tối Cao, và ông Trump luôn ca tụng đó là một thành quả chính trị lớn của cử tri ủng hộ ông. 


Phe Dân Chủ chắc chắn sẽ "chiến đấu tới giọt máu cuối cùng" để ngăn chặn bất cứ một nhân vật nào ông Trump đề cử vào Tòa Tối Cao, như đã từng làm với ông Neil Gorsuch. Nhưng phe Cộng Hòa vẫn đang nắm đa số ở Thượng Viện, và nếu tiến trình bổ nhiệm hoàn tất được trước tháng 11 này thì cơ hội ngăn chặn thành công của phe Dân Chủ là rất thấp.


Nếu bổ nhiệm được thêm một thẩm phán có lập trường phải, Tòa Tối Cao sẽ có đa số thẩm phán có lập trường phải trên các vấn đề xã hội. Ông Trump lại gợi ý muốn đề cử một người trẻ, vì thế nhân vật này sẽ có thể tại vị ba bốn chục năm. Điều này sẽ mang lại những ý nghĩa và hệ quả nhất định đối với xã hội Hoa Kỳ nói chung, và đối với cộng đồng Việt Nam nói riêng trên vài thập niên tới.




FILE - U.S. Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy (L) reacts while chatting with Chief Justice John Roberts (R) during a new U.S. Supreme Court family photo - Reuters





Contentious Confirmation Process Looms After Supreme Court Justice Retirement


WASHINGTON — The retirement of Justice Anthony Kennedy, the key swing vote on the U.S. Supreme Court, gives President Donald Trump a coveted opportunity make the second high court appointment of his term and sets the stage for one of the most consequential confirmation battles in decades.


During his 30 years on the bench, Kennedy, an 81-year- old Republican appointee, has often broken ranks with his conservative colleagues to cast the decisive vote in a string of landmark cases, including those involving abortion, gay rights and voting rights.


His retirement becomes effective at the end of July and a conservative pick by Trump would further strgenthen the court’s conservative wing which often had to contend with Kennedy’s penchant for moderation and maverick opinions.


While conservatives see a rare opening for another right-leaning high court appointment, liberals are vowing to block it, fearing a conservative-dominated court could reverse decades of gains on abortion, gay rights and other issues of import to them.


Abortion ruling


Kennedy has been at the center of many of the court’s most contentious cases of the past several decades. In 1992, he co-authored a ruling that reaffirmed women's constitutional right to abortion, and in 2015 he wrote a landmark decision that legalized same-sex marriage in the United States. In other major cases, however, such as the recent ruling on the Trump administration’s travel ban, he’s furnished the critical fifth vote for conservative positions.

Sarah Warbelow, legal director with the Human Rights Campaign, a Washington-based LGBTQ advocacy organization, said Kennedy “was really the architect behind some of the most critical decisions impacting our lives.”

In other major cases, however, such as the recent ruling on the Trump administration’s travel ban, Kennedy furnished the critical fifth vote for conservative positions.


President Trump has called Kennedy a man of “tremendous vision” and said he’d "immediately" begin the search for a replacement.


"We have to pick one that’s going to be there for 40 years, 45 years, we need intellect, we need so many things. So many elements go into picking a Supreme Court justice," he said at a rally in North Dakota Wednesday.


To be confirmed, Supreme Court nominees used to require a minimum of 60 votes in the Senate. But last year Republicans who control the Senate changed the rules, allowing a nominee to be confirmed by a simple majority of 51.




U.S. President Donald Trump walks with Justice Anthony Kennedy after Judge Neil Gorsuch was sworn in as an Associate Supreme Court Justice in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, April 10, 2017.


Gorsuch nomination


Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, won confirmation by a 54-46 vote. His appointment reinstated the court’s 5-4 conservative majority, leading to a string of favorable rulings for the Trump administration.


Democrats fear that Trump may try to force a nomination through the Senate before the November Congressional election, which could decide which party gets to control the Senate and the House of Representatives.


Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, reminding Republicans of their refusal to hold a vote in 2016 for then President Barack Obama's nominee, Merrick Garland, urged them on Tuesday not to consider Trump’s next Supreme Court pick before the elections.


“Millions of people are just months away from determining the senators who should vote to confirm or reject the president’s nominee, and their voices deserve to be heard now, as Leader (Mitch) McConnell thought they deserved to be heard then. Anything but that would be the absolute height of hypocrisy,” Schumer said in a statement.


Deciding vote


In recent years, the Supreme Court has decided about 20 percent of cases by a 5-4 vote, with the outcome often turning on Justice Kennedy's vote, according to Charles Geyh, a professor at the Indiana University Maurer School of Law.


Justice Kennedy "was at the center of many of those and many of those are among the most important decisions that the Supreme Court has made," Geyh, who is an expert on judicial selection, said.


Paul Schiff Berman, a law professor at the George Washington University, said that whether Kennedy will be known for his decisions on abortion and gay marriage “depend in large part on whether those two precedents actually survive in the years to come and I think that's an open question.


But Geyh said that Chief Justice Roberts is likely to temper any hasty reversals of precedents out of concern about the court's reputation.


"Roberts is concerned about the legacy of the court, he’s concerned about a court that is perceived as upholding the court of law, and he’s concerned about a public perception that court is just a group of politicians in robes," Geyh said.


Source: VOA News